Politics Prediction Markets

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jul 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2028
$20,555,315 vol
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
Above 190 market icon
Above 190
Above 195 market icon
Above 195
$121,834 vol
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)
Above 185 market icon
Above 185
Above 190 market icon
Above 190
$132,470 vol
Will France declare a state of emergency?
Before Jan 1, 2027 market icon
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Nov 1, 2026 market icon
Before Nov 1, 2026
$41,588 vol
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
Above 290 market icon
Above 290
Above 300 market icon
Above 300
$126,760 vol
What countries will Trump visit in 2026?
Japan market icon
Japan
Germany market icon
Germany
$1,008,112 vol
Will Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term?
$34,328 vol
When will Trump, Xi and Putin meet together?
Before Jul 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027
$17,088 vol
Will Kash Patel visit Russia?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Nov 1, 2026
$46,459 vol
Which wealth taxes will the UK announce before December?
Inheritance Tax Rise
Mansion Tax Increase
$12,388 vol
Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?
Gadi Eisenkot market icon
Gadi Eisenkot
Benjamin Netanyahu market icon
Benjamin Netanyahu
Oct 27 @ 4:00 AM
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Before January 21, 2029
Before 2027
$6,982,844 vol
Will the US reopen its embassy in Syria?
Before 2028
Before 2027
$50,542 vol
Laurent Nuñez announces departure as Interior Minister of France?
$642 vol
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
$1,221,496 vol
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
$7,037,226 vol
Who will be Israeli finance minister after the election?
Bezalel Smotrich
Shaul Meridor
Oct 27 @ 4:00 AM
Will Trump visit China?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$24,696 vol
What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?
Switzerland
Qatar
$177,928 vol
Will the US acquire any new territory?
Before Jan 21, 2029 market icon
Before Jan 21, 2029
Before Jan 2028 market icon
Before Jan 2028
$725,902 vol
When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan?
Before 2030 market icon
Before 2030
Before 2029 market icon
Before 2029
$113,730 vol
Will the Graham Act sanctions take effect in 2026?
$200 vol
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor?
Before Jul 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2028
$33,239 vol
When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$35,433 vol
Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?
Belize market icon
Belize
Djibouti market icon
Djibouti
$742,805 vol
Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2028
$484,375 vol
Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France?
$19,941 vol
Will BRICS invite a new member to join them before 2027?
$17,138 vol
Ed Davey announces departure as Liberal Democrats leader in 2026?
$8,859 vol
Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election?
Yoav Ben-Tzur
Michael Malchieli
Oct 27 @ 4:00 AM
When will Trump, Zelenskyy and Putin meet together?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2028
$36,302 vol
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?
Uganda market icon
Uganda
Democratic Republic of the Congo market icon
Democratic Republic of the Congo
$160,988 vol
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